A5: The Situation Swap
This is one of the thirty thinking tools identified and explored on Hardly Thinking. Explore all the tools →
My side has circumstances, their side has character: swap them and check again.
Two crowds, one broken window
Imagine a large street demonstration by a movement you sympathize with. Thousands of people march peacefully, and near the end a handful of them smash a shop window. When you read about it that evening, an explanation arrives almost before you have finished the headline. These people have been ignored for years. Tempers were high, the police were provocative, and a few hotheads do not speak for thousands. It was a bad moment, not a revelation.
Now imagine the same evening, the same headline, but the march belonged to a movement you oppose. The same handful, the same window. This time a different explanation arrives just as quickly. This is what they are really like. The peaceful majority were cover. The window shows you the movement's true face.
Neither explanation felt like a choice. It is easy never to notice that you have explained an identical act in two opposite ways, which is why this tool exists.
The move
The Situation Swap is a tool, which on this site means a mental operation you can run on a claim in real time, before you believe it or pass it on. It targets one specific habit: we explain our own group's bad behavior by its circumstances, and the other group's identical behavior as revealing their nature.
Running it takes four steps.
- Notice that you are explaining why someone did something bad, and notice which group they belong to.
- Write down, even just in your head, the explanation you reached for. Was it about their situation (pressure, provocation, history, a bad day) or about their character (what kind of people they are)?
- Swap the actors. Retell the same act with the other group doing it, and describe it in the language you would normally use for them. Then retell the other group's comparable act in the language you use for your own side.
- Check whether your explanations survive the swap. If you would accept a situational explanation for your side and not for theirs, or a character explanation for theirs and not for yours, one of the two needs to change.
Step three is the heart of it. The swap only works if you translate the language as well as the actors, because the words carry most of the verdict.
Why it works
This tool belongs to the family the site calls Bias Literacy, which deals with errors that happen before reasoning starts. By the time you begin weighing evidence about a group's behavior, the explanation has often already been chosen for you by which group it is. Circumstances get offered to people we feel close to, and character gets assigned to people we don't.
The swap works because it holds everything constant except the one thing that should not matter: whose side the actor is on. If your explanation changes when only the label changes, the label was doing the explaining. You do not need to know which explanation is correct, only that you were applying them by team rather than by evidence.
Psychologists have studied versions of this tendency, both in how individuals explain other people's behavior and in how members of groups explain the behavior of their own group and of others.
Source still being found. the psychology research on explaining behavior by situation versus character (often called the fundamental attribution error), from a work actually read
Source still being found. research on the group-level version of this tendency, in which people credit their own group's bad acts to circumstances and an out-group's to its nature, with an assessment of how well it has held up; cite works actually read
Using it well
The legitimate use is retelling each side's version of the same act in the other side's language and seeing whether the explanations survive the swap.
Suppose two local politicians from opposing parties are each found to have used an official car for a family errand. Your instinct about the one you voted for might be that the rules on mixed use are confusing, the errand was on the way to an official event, and the amount involved is trivial. Your instinct about the other might be that this shows an entitled attitude to public money. Now swap. Describe your politician's errand as "using taxpayer property for private convenience." Describe the opponent's as "a minor mix-up under confusing rules." If the first description now sounds fair to you and the second sounds like spin, you have learned something about your starting point.
Notice what the tool did not do. It did not tell you which explanation was right. Perhaps the rules really were confusing, in which case both politicians deserve the same allowance. Perhaps both acts show the same carelessness, in which case both deserve the same criticism. The swap forces consistency; it does not choose the verdict. A good use also checks that the two acts really are comparable. If one politician made a single short detour and the other used the car for a month, the swap has not shown a double standard, and saying it had would be its own mistake.
Example still being found. a real, quoted, dated public instance in which a writer or speaker retold an act by their own side in the language they had used for the other side (or vice versa) and changed or qualified their judgment as a result; ideally examples from more than one point on the political spectrum
When it becomes a weapon
The weaponized form is infinite situational excuse-making for your own side, rebranded as "context."
This is hard to spot because context is real and often matters. A tool that teaches you to look for circumstances can become a machine for producing them, for your own side only. Every bad act by an ally arrives with a backstory: the provocation, the history, the pressure, the bigger picture. Every bad act by an opponent arrives bare. The person doing this feels fair-minded, since they are asking for context. They just never ask for it on the other side's behalf.
There is a quieter version too. The swap itself can be performed in bad faith: a writer goes through the motions of imagining the other side's act in their own side's terms, declares that the comparison does not hold, and moves on without ever saying what would have made it hold.
A few signs help tell the honest use from the weaponized one:
- The honest use extends the same context to the other side's comparable act. The weaponized use offers context only for allies.
- The honest use treats context as something that can explain an act without fully excusing it. The weaponized use treats context as an acquittal.
- The honest use admits a point at which context runs out. The weaponized use never finds that point for its own side, and always finds it immediately for the other.
- The honest user can name a time the swap went against their own side.
Example still being found. a real, quoted, dated instance of "context" or "the bigger picture" being demanded for one side's bad act while a comparable act by the other side was described as revealing that side's true nature; find examples from both the political left and the political right
Run it on your own side first
This instruction comes with every tool on this site, and it is the actual test of whether the tool has been understood. Try these:
- Think of the worst thing someone on your side has done in the past year. What explanation did you reach for, and would you accept that same explanation if the other side offered it for something similar?
- Think of an act by the other side that you took as proof of what they are really like. What circumstances, if your side had been in them, would you have pointed to?
- When you last said "you have to understand the context," did you say it about an ally or an opponent?
If the answers are uncomfortable, the tool is working.
Grammars it works against
A grammar, on this site, is a recurring pattern of argument that turns up across many different subjects. The site's map of which tools work best against which grammars does not yet list the Situation Swap against any of them. Whether that gap is real or simply untested will be settled by real articles, not guesswork.
In general terms, the tool helps anywhere an argument explains the same kind of act differently depending on who did it. Two grammars look like natural places to try it, though the site has not yet tested either. In G7: Moral Panic and the Folk Devil, a group's behavior is often read as its essential nature, and the swap asks whether the same behavior from a familiar group would be read the same way. In G4: Loyalty, Heresy, and Betrayal, a dissenter's motives are often treated as character flaws while a loyalist's lapses are put down to circumstance, and the swap asks whether those explanations would survive being traded.
Related tools
- A4: The Mirror Check asks whether you scrutinized a claim or just liked its conclusion. A5 is a specific version of the same discipline, applied to how you explain people's behavior.
- F3: The Charity-with-Audit Protocol starts with the most reasonable reading of an ambiguous statement. Its weaponized form, infinite charity for allies and none for opponents, is a close relative of A5's.
- C2: The Steelman Protocol asks you to state an opposing position so well its holders would sign it. A5 does something similar for opposing behavior: describe it the way its actors would.
- E3: The Euphemism X-Ray rebuilds the plain-language version of a softened description, which helps when "context" has become a polite word for an excuse.